Welcome!

Wearables Authors: Pat Romanski, Shelly Palmer, Yeshim Deniz, Elizabeth White, Carmen Gonzalez

News Feed Item

Future of Communication 2020 - Telco & OTT communication - Market forecasts

NEW YORK, Jan. 16, 2013 /PRNewswire/ -- Reportlinker.com announces that a new market research report is available in its catalogue:

Future of Communication 2020 - Telco & OTT communication - Market forecasts

http://www.reportlinker.com/p01083638/Future-of-Communication-2020---Tel...

Communication being ubiquitious and IP-based solutions taking increasingly a bigger part in it, this market still remains essential despite decreasing revenues.

This report provides analyses on quantitative changes until 2020, in terms of usages and revenues. It also describes the latest trends, the re-positioning of telcos in an OTT world.

Key Questions

• What will be the key trends in communication by 2020? Will the total revenue pie of communication shrink or grow?

• How are telco margins evolving for communication? Simple substitution from fixed to mobile or revenue loss?

• In terms of usages, how will communication services evolve until 2020? What about OTT VoIP & SMS?

• What are the impacts of new technologies such as WebRTC or RCSe?

• Can telcos recover their territory from OTT players? Moreover, how much territory are they really losing, if any?

Contents

1. Executive Summary . 7

1.1. The six key trends shaping the market 81.2. Key developments in usage of communication services 91.3. The quantification of the communication market . 10

2. Methodology 12

3. Communication 2020 in figures 14

3.1. Key usage developments by 2020 14

3.1.1. Mobile users still much more dominant than OTT VoIP users 14

3.1.2. Messaging users of both telcos and OTTs expected to grow 15

3.1.3. Number of SMS sent still set to grow, but OTT messages are rapidly catching up16

3.2. The quantification of communication revenue by 2020 . 18

3.2.1. Overall communication services market expected to see very slight decline over

eight years from 2012 to 2020 18

3.2.2. Increase in mobile communication revenues cannot compensate for the decline in

fixed communication revenues . 20

3.2.3. Increase in telco messaging revenues cannot compensate for the decline in telco

voice revenues . 24

3.2.4. OTT communication revenues cannot compensate for decline in telco

communication revenues . 28

4. The six key trends in communication . 32

4.1. The aggregation of communication types 32

4.1.1. Introduction . 32

4.1.2. Facebook . 32

4.1.3. Google 34

4.1.4. WhatsApp 35

4.1.5. Apple . 35

4.1.6. Operators . 36

4.2. Beyond traditional communication for telcos 37

4.2.1. Introduction . 37

4.2.2. Operators providing their own OTT service 37

4.2.3. Partnerships between OTT and operators 39

4.2.4. joyn (RCSe) 40

4.3. Voice and messaging becoming a telco commodity 43

4.3.1. Introduction . 43

4.3.2. Mobile voice and messaging offered in abundance 43

4.3.3. Fixed voice and Internet access also unlimited 44

4.3.4. Bundling it all for an even cheaper experience . 45

4.4. Mobile data and WiFi makes strong case for OTTs 46

4.4.1. Introduction . 46

4.4.2. Unlimited mobile data still rare 46

4.4.3. WiFi over mobile allows unlimited OTT communication including video 47

4.5. The rise of video communication . 48

4.5.1. Introduction . 48

4.5.2. Telco video communications . 48

4.5.3. OTT video communications 48

4.6. Genuinely free OTT offers in exchange of user data . 52

4.6.1. Introduction . 52

4.6.2. Free or low-cost OTT services 52

4.6.3. Advertising and data usage 53

Tables

Table 1: Communication providers aggregating communication types . 8

Table 2: Communication providers aggregating communication types 32

Figures

Figure 1: Fixed telephony lines, mobile subscriptions and OTT VoIP users forecast, USA, 2012-

2020 . 9

Figure 2: Number of messages sent forecast by type, EU5, 2012-2020 . 10

Figure 3: Total communication revenue forecast by market segment, EU5 2012-2020 10

Figure 4: Telco revenue forecast by market segment, EU5, 2012-2020 . 11

Figure 5: Fixed telephony lines, mobile subscriptions and OTT VoIP users forecast, USA, 2012-

2020 14

Figure 6: Fixed telephony lines, mobile subscriptions and OTT VoIP users forecast, EU5, 2012-

2020 15

Figure 7: Messaging users forecast by type of message, USA, 2012-2020 15

Figure 8: Messaging users forecast by type of message, EU5, 2012-2020 16

Figure 9: Number of messages sent forecast by type, USA, 2012-2020 16

Figure 10: Share of messages sent, USA, 2012 and 2020 17

Figure 11: Number of messages sent forecast by type, EU5, 2012-2020 . 17

Figure 12: Share of messages sent, EU5, 2012 and 2020 18

Figure 13: Total communication revenue forecast by market segment, USA, 2012-2020 19

Figure 14: Total communication revenue share by market segment, USA, 2012 and 2020 19

Figure 15: Total communication revenue forecast by market segment, EU5, 2012-2020 . 20

Figure 16: Total communication revenue share by market segment, EU5, 2012 and 2020 . 20

Figure 17: Telco fixed and mobile communication revenue forecast, USA, 2012-2020 . 21

Figure 18: Total fixed telco revenue forecast (both communication and Internet & data), USA, 2012-

2020 21

Figure 19: Total mobile telco revenue forecast (both communication and Internet & data), USA,

2012-2020 22

Figure 20: Total telco revenues forecast (fixed and mobile, communication and noncommunication),

USA, 2012-2020 . 22

Figure 21: Telco fixed and mobile communication revenue forecast, EU5, 2012-2020 . 23

Figure 22: Total fixed telco revenue forecast (both communication and Internet & data), EU5, 2012-

2020 23

Figure 23: Total mobile telco revenue forecast (both communication and Internet & data), EU5,

2012-2020 24

Figure 24: Total telco revenues forecast (fixed and mobile, communication and noncommunication),

EU5, 2012-2020 . 24

Figure 25: Telco fixed voice, mobile voice and messaging revenues forecast, USA, 2012-2020 . 25

Figure 26: Share of messaging revenue, USA, 2012 and 2020 . 25

Figure 27: SMS and other messaging services revenues forecast, USA, 2012-2020 . 26

Figure 28: Share of SMS and other messaging services revenues, USA, 2012 and 2020 26

Figure 29: Telco fixed voice, mobile voice and mobile messaging revenue forecast, EU5, 2012-

2020 27

Figure 30: Share of messaging revenue, EU5, 2012 and 2020 . 27

Figure 31: SMS and other messaging services revenues forecast, EU5, 2012-2020 . 28

Figure 32: Share of SMS and other messaging services revenues, EU5, 2012 and 2020 28

Figure 33: OTT communication revenue forecast by segment, USA, 2012-2020 . 29

Figure 34: Share of OTT communication revenue by segment, USA, 2012 and 2020 29

Figure 35: Comparison of telco and OTT communication revenues, USA, 2012-2020 30

Figure 36: OTT communication revenue forecast by segment, EU5, 2012-2020 . 30

Figure 37: Share of OTT communication revenue by segment, EU5, 2012 and 2020 31

Figure 38: Comparison of telco and OTT communication revenues, EU5, 2012-2020 31

Figure 39: The new look of Facebook messages . 33

Figure 40: Bobsled, by T-Mobile, allows voice calls on Facebook chat . 33

Figure 41: Video-calling option within Facebook 34

Figure 42: FaceTime from Apple 36

Figure 43: Media Centre Cloud service by Deutsche Telekom 36

Figure 44: The TU Me app by Telefonica 37

Figure 45: Key features of the Bobsled app by T-Mobile USA 38

Figure 46: International Favourites, by O2 UK 38

Figure 47: The Skype-on-Three offer which incurs no data charges 39

Figure 48: Skype on KDDI 39

Figure 49: WhatsApp offering from Three Hong Kong 40

Figure 50: The 'joyn' service, led by the GSMA . 41

Figure 51: OEM ecosystem for joyn . 42

Figure 52: Orange France mobile plans offer unlimited calls and SMS in their cheapest plans . 44

Figure 53: BT offers unlimited calls (national) and Internet 44

Figure 54: Quadruple bundle from Orange, further commoditising voice and messaging . 45

Figure 55: Penetration of bundled services in European households . 46

Figure 56: A comparison of Sprint, AT&T and Verizon's smartphone data plan, by Sprint 47

Figure 57: Video call tariffs 48

Figure 58: A FaceTime video communication between an iPhone user and an iPad user 49

Figure 59: A Skype video communication using the Skype application . 49

Figure 60: An example of WebRTC integration for video calls on Google Chrome . 50

Figure 61: A GTalk video chat (using the Flash plug-in) 51

Figure 62: A Windows Live Messenger window with an ad at the bottom 52

Figure 63: Falcon Pro for Twitter sold inn the Google Play app store at 0.79 EUR 53

Figure 64: WhatsApp Messenger price information before downloading the app . 53

Figure 65: Facebook targeted advertising on the user's wall . 54

To order this report:: Future of Communication 2020 - Telco & OTT communication - Market forecasts

Nicolas Bombourg
Reportlinker
Email: [email protected]
US: (805) 652-2626
Intl: +1 805-652-2626

SOURCE Reportlinker

More Stories By PR Newswire

Copyright © 2007 PR Newswire. All rights reserved. Republication or redistribution of PRNewswire content is expressly prohibited without the prior written consent of PRNewswire. PRNewswire shall not be liable for any errors or delays in the content, or for any actions taken in reliance thereon.

@ThingsExpo Stories
"Digital transformation - what we knew about it in the past has been redefined. Automation is going to play such a huge role in that because the culture, the technology, and the business operations are being shifted now," stated Brian Boeggeman, VP of Alliances & Partnerships at Ayehu, in this SYS-CON.tv interview at 21st Cloud Expo, held Oct 31 – Nov 2, 2017, at the Santa Clara Convention Center in Santa Clara, CA.
In his session at 21st Cloud Expo, Raju Shreewastava, founder of Big Data Trunk, provided a fun and simple way to introduce Machine Leaning to anyone and everyone. He solved a machine learning problem and demonstrated an easy way to be able to do machine learning without even coding. Raju Shreewastava is the founder of Big Data Trunk (www.BigDataTrunk.com), a Big Data Training and consulting firm with offices in the United States. He previously led the data warehouse/business intelligence and B...
A strange thing is happening along the way to the Internet of Things, namely far too many devices to work with and manage. It has become clear that we'll need much higher efficiency user experiences that can allow us to more easily and scalably work with the thousands of devices that will soon be in each of our lives. Enter the conversational interface revolution, combining bots we can literally talk with, gesture to, and even direct with our thoughts, with embedded artificial intelligence, whic...
Cloud Expo | DXWorld Expo have announced the conference tracks for Cloud Expo 2018. Cloud Expo will be held June 5-7, 2018, at the Javits Center in New York City, and November 6-8, 2018, at the Santa Clara Convention Center, Santa Clara, CA. Digital Transformation (DX) is a major focus with the introduction of DX Expo within the program. Successful transformation requires a laser focus on being data-driven and on using all the tools available that enable transformation if they plan to survive ov...
Product connectivity goes hand and hand these days with increased use of personal data. New IoT devices are becoming more personalized than ever before. In his session at 22nd Cloud Expo | DXWorld Expo, Nicolas Fierro, CEO of MIMIR Blockchain Solutions, will discuss how in order to protect your data and privacy, IoT applications need to embrace Blockchain technology for a new level of product security never before seen - or needed.
Smart cities have the potential to change our lives at so many levels for citizens: less pollution, reduced parking obstacles, better health, education and more energy savings. Real-time data streaming and the Internet of Things (IoT) possess the power to turn this vision into a reality. However, most organizations today are building their data infrastructure to focus solely on addressing immediate business needs vs. a platform capable of quickly adapting emerging technologies to address future ...
With tough new regulations coming to Europe on data privacy in May 2018, Calligo will explain why in reality the effect is global and transforms how you consider critical data. EU GDPR fundamentally rewrites the rules for cloud, Big Data and IoT. In his session at 21st Cloud Expo, Adam Ryan, Vice President and General Manager EMEA at Calligo, examined the regulations and provided insight on how it affects technology, challenges the established rules and will usher in new levels of diligence arou...
SYS-CON Events announced today that Evatronix will exhibit at SYS-CON's 21st International Cloud Expo®, which will take place on Oct 31 – Nov 2, 2017, at the Santa Clara Convention Center in Santa Clara, CA. Evatronix SA offers comprehensive solutions in the design and implementation of electronic systems, in CAD / CAM deployment, and also is a designer and manufacturer of advanced 3D scanners for professional applications.
SYS-CON Events announced today that Synametrics Technologies will exhibit at SYS-CON's 22nd International Cloud Expo®, which will take place on June 5-7, 2018, at the Javits Center in New York, NY. Synametrics Technologies is a privately held company based in Plainsboro, New Jersey that has been providing solutions for the developer community since 1997. Based on the success of its initial product offerings such as WinSQL, Xeams, SynaMan and Syncrify, Synametrics continues to create and hone inn...
To get the most out of their data, successful companies are not focusing on queries and data lakes, they are actively integrating analytics into their operations with a data-first application development approach. Real-time adjustments to improve revenues, reduce costs, or mitigate risk rely on applications that minimize latency on a variety of data sources. In his session at @BigDataExpo, Jack Norris, Senior Vice President, Data and Applications at MapR Technologies, reviewed best practices to ...
"Evatronix provides design services to companies that need to integrate the IoT technology in their products but they don't necessarily have the expertise, knowledge and design team to do so," explained Adam Morawiec, VP of Business Development at Evatronix, in this SYS-CON.tv interview at @ThingsExpo, held Oct 31 – Nov 2, 2017, at the Santa Clara Convention Center in Santa Clara, CA.
The 22nd International Cloud Expo | 1st DXWorld Expo has announced that its Call for Papers is open. Cloud Expo | DXWorld Expo, to be held June 5-7, 2018, at the Javits Center in New York, NY, brings together Cloud Computing, Digital Transformation, Big Data, Internet of Things, DevOps, Machine Learning and WebRTC to one location. With cloud computing driving a higher percentage of enterprise IT budgets every year, it becomes increasingly important to plant your flag in this fast-expanding busin...
In his Opening Keynote at 21st Cloud Expo, John Considine, General Manager of IBM Cloud Infrastructure, led attendees through the exciting evolution of the cloud. He looked at this major disruption from the perspective of technology, business models, and what this means for enterprises of all sizes. John Considine is General Manager of Cloud Infrastructure Services at IBM. In that role he is responsible for leading IBM’s public cloud infrastructure including strategy, development, and offering m...
Nordstrom is transforming the way that they do business and the cloud is the key to enabling speed and hyper personalized customer experiences. In his session at 21st Cloud Expo, Ken Schow, VP of Engineering at Nordstrom, discussed some of the key learnings and common pitfalls of large enterprises moving to the cloud. This includes strategies around choosing a cloud provider(s), architecture, and lessons learned. In addition, he covered some of the best practices for structured team migration an...
No hype cycles or predictions of a gazillion things here. IoT is here. You get it. You know your business and have great ideas for a business transformation strategy. What comes next? Time to make it happen. In his session at @ThingsExpo, Jay Mason, an Associate Partner of Analytics, IoT & Cybersecurity at M&S Consulting, presented a step-by-step plan to develop your technology implementation strategy. He also discussed the evaluation of communication standards and IoT messaging protocols, data...
Recently, REAN Cloud built a digital concierge for a North Carolina hospital that had observed that most patient call button questions were repetitive. In addition, the paper-based process used to measure patient health metrics was laborious, not in real-time and sometimes error-prone. In their session at 21st Cloud Expo, Sean Finnerty, Executive Director, Practice Lead, Health Care & Life Science at REAN Cloud, and Dr. S.P.T. Krishnan, Principal Architect at REAN Cloud, discussed how they built...
22nd International Cloud Expo, taking place June 5-7, 2018, at the Javits Center in New York City, NY, and co-located with the 1st DXWorld Expo will feature technical sessions from a rock star conference faculty and the leading industry players in the world. Cloud computing is now being embraced by a majority of enterprises of all sizes. Yesterday's debate about public vs. private has transformed into the reality of hybrid cloud: a recent survey shows that 74% of enterprises have a hybrid cloud ...
22nd International Cloud Expo, taking place June 5-7, 2018, at the Javits Center in New York City, NY, and co-located with the 1st DXWorld Expo will feature technical sessions from a rock star conference faculty and the leading industry players in the world. Cloud computing is now being embraced by a majority of enterprises of all sizes. Yesterday's debate about public vs. private has transformed into the reality of hybrid cloud: a recent survey shows that 74% of enterprises have a hybrid cloud ...
DevOps at Cloud Expo – being held June 5-7, 2018, at the Javits Center in New York, NY – announces that its Call for Papers is open. Born out of proven success in agile development, cloud computing, and process automation, DevOps is a macro trend you cannot afford to miss. From showcase success stories from early adopters and web-scale businesses, DevOps is expanding to organizations of all sizes, including the world's largest enterprises – and delivering real results. Among the proven benefits,...
@DevOpsSummit at Cloud Expo, taking place June 5-7, 2018, at the Javits Center in New York City, NY, is co-located with 22nd Cloud Expo | 1st DXWorld Expo and will feature technical sessions from a rock star conference faculty and the leading industry players in the world. The widespread success of cloud computing is driving the DevOps revolution in enterprise IT. Now as never before, development teams must communicate and collaborate in a dynamic, 24/7/365 environment. There is no time to wait...